Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.122016 0.143376 0.167240 0.195858 0.229232 0.266912 0.312672
2025-11-23 0.087502 0.114216 0.147188 0.190812 0.246955 0.316732 0.410007
2025-11-30 0.071022 0.100274 0.139160 0.194496 0.271091 0.373248 0.519755
2025-12-07 0.058882 0.088706 0.130852 0.194532 0.288092 0.420278 0.621021
2025-12-14 0.048797 0.077809 0.121059 0.189914 0.296457 0.454698 0.707201
2025-12-21 0.041982 0.070439 0.114940 0.189169 0.309454 0.496205 0.807574
2025-12-28 0.038078 0.066909 0.113989 0.195901 0.334276 0.557857 0.945615
2026-01-04 0.035183 0.064519 0.114379 0.204569 0.362872 0.628196 1.105273
2026-01-11 0.032104 0.061296 0.112818 0.209488 0.385380 0.690482 1.257961
2026-01-18 0.028772 0.057092 0.108908 0.209577 0.399120 0.738794 1.391158
2026-01-25 0.024994 0.051484 0.101668 0.202512 0.398753 0.761648 1.480441
2026-02-01 0.021567 0.046058 0.094039 0.193635 0.393695 0.774962 1.552800
2026-02-08 0.019367 0.042955 0.090824 0.193624 0.407080 0.826869 1.710089
2026-02-15 0.016896 0.038935 0.085271 0.188239 0.409277 0.857876 1.831254
2026-02-22 0.015557 0.037157 0.084106 0.191828 0.430376 0.928946 2.042274
2026-03-01 0.014093 0.034860 0.081486 0.191858 0.443780 0.985543 2.229511
2026-03-08 0.012481 0.031958 0.077105 0.187301 0.446400 1.019392 2.371436
2026-03-15 0.011327 0.029977 0.074547 0.186566 0.457513 1.072865 2.563018
2026-03-22 0.010746 0.029340 0.075070 0.193208 0.486644 1.169894 2.865119
2026-03-29 0.010314 0.029019 0.076311 0.201759 0.521405 1.283699 3.219554
2026-04-05 0.009717 0.028164 0.076095 0.206613 0.547652 1.380368 3.544067
2026-04-12 0.008945 0.026709 0.074140 0.206701 0.561863 1.449600 3.809291
2026-04-19 0.007946 0.024450 0.069749 0.199730 0.556889 1.470937 3.956813